Raising funds is a complex process that can be one of the most
challenging parts of being a founder. Before you begin your
fundraising efforts, you need to determine how much money you
need to raise. To do that, you need to calculate your startup
valuation. Startup valuation is one of the most important
things to know when you begin to reach out to investors to
raise capital.
There are a lot of things to consider when determining your
startup's valuation, from the market trends to the risks
to the team behind it. You need to ensure you aren't
undervaluing or overvaluing your company while creating an
accurate estimate. And that's important to remember, your
valuation is just that, an estimate. When you need to raise
capital and your company has yet to make revenue, how do you
determine your company's value?
What is Startup Valuation?
Startup valuation is what your startup is worth, depending on
a number of factors. It's the process in which founders
analyze data and research to determine the worth of their
startup at the time when they need funding. This is done
through several different methods and calculations to come up
with a figure as accurately as possible.
It's important to get as close to accurate as possible
when determining your company's valuation because
investors decide to invest in startups based on the value and
potential of the business. Investors want to be able to
accurately calculate their return on their investment, and in
order to do that, they need an accurate valuation to work
from.
7 Effective Methods to Determine Startup Valuation
Calculating your startup value, while an estimate, requires
some research and analysis to help you make an accurate
determination. There are a few startup valuation methods to
consider when determining your startup valuation.
1. Berkus Method – The Berkus Method
was created by angel investor and venture capitalist Dave
Berkus. It looks at valuing a startup through a detailed
assessment of five key factors of success: Basic value,
technology, the management team (execution), strategic
relationships, and production. It's a method designed to
quickly assign value based on a few factors alone. It assigns
a value ranging from zero to $500,000 for each area.
-
Basic Value $0 – $500,000: Is the
idea exciting and innovative?
-
Management Team $500,000 – $1,000,000:
{' '}
Is there are strong management team behind the startup?
-
Prototype $1,000,000 – $1,500,000:
{' '}
Is there a product created or a viable prototype that is
attracting customer attention?
-
Strategic Relationships $1,500,000 – $2,000,000:
{' '}
Are there strong relationships and partnerships to help
develop the startup?
-
Production $2,000,000 – $2,500,000:
{' '}
Does the startup have traction or a path to
profitability?
2. Scorecard Valuation – One of the
more popular methods is the Scorecard Valuation Method or the
Bill Payne Method. This method works by comparing similar
startups that are already funded at the same stage as your
startup. There are other factors you need to consider when
using this valuation method.
-
Management Team 0-30% – Does the
founding team have a strong background and a lot of
industry experience?
-
Market Size 0-25% – How big is
your market size, and do you have many leads interested
in your product or service? The bigger the potential
market is, the more likely you'll have ready
buyers.
-
Traction – Has your company
made any traction? Traction is a measure of your
startup's growth in the early stages. When
you're pre-revenue, it doesn't have to be
your sales. It can be a wait list, people who have
prepurchased, or a strong following through social
media. It's a measure of proof that your company
will grow.
-
Product and Services 0-15% – Do
you have a minimum viable product, a working prototype,
or strong, smart tech to back your product or service.
The more progress you have made in building or getting
ready to go to market, the higher your valuation will
be.
-
Competition 0-10% – Is the market
saturated in your industry? If you have a high level of
competition, it will make it challenging to stand out.
-
Marketing and Growth 0-10% – If
you can show your user base is growing, and people are
engaged, your company valuation will be worth more.
-
Need for Other Investments 0-5% - Does
your startup potentially need more investments or
investors?
-
Other 0-5%
3. Venture Capital Method – The venture
capital method is a simple two-step process made popular by a
Harvard Business School Professor, Bill Sahlman. The process
looks at two valuation formulas when your startup is
pre-revenue:
-
The Terminal Value During the Harvest Year
{' '}
– The terminal value is the expected value of the
startup on a date in the future or when an investor
exits the startup, also called the harvest year. The
calculations will use the estimated or projected
revenue, profit margin, and the industry P/E ratio or
stock to price-earnings in the harvest year. Terminal
Value = projected revenue x projected margin x P/E.
-
The Expected Pre-Money Valuation{' '}
– For the pre-money valuation of the venture
capital method, you need to determine the required ROI
and the investment amount. The formula used is Pre-Money
Valuation = Terminal value / ROI – Investment
amount.
4. Comparable Transactions Method – The
comparable transactions method determines similar startups
similar to yours that were acquired. The research into these
startups helps determine similar startups to yours that have
been acquired and for how much. While this method is popular,
you need to carefully look at a lot of factors of comparable
startups, such as market conditions to know if the startup
conditions match yours closely or are too vague.
5. Cost-to-Duplicate Method – The
cost-to-duplicate method evaluates the assets of the startup
in the current state and calculates how much it would be to
duplicate the business in another market. This method
calculates the fair market value of your physical assets,
research and development costs, patents, prototype costs, and
more. You will want to include any costs that have gone into
building your startup and getting it to its current point
today.
6. Risk Factor Summation Method – The
risk factor summation creates a more detailed valuation. It
looks at the risks of the investment of your startup by
calculating the valuation using an existing method and
subtracting $250,000 based on the risks that might affect the
ROI. The lower the risk, the better the grade of your
valuation. Some of the common risk categories include:
-
Management
-
Capital accumulation
-
Technological risk
-
Legal or Litigation
-
Pollical risk
-
Manufacturing
-
Competition risk
This valuation method allows you to review the probability of
success for your startup by adding or subtracting from the
average value depending on how many risks impact your business
in a certain category.
7. Discount Cash Flow Method – The
discounted cash flow method focuses on forecasting your
startup's future cash flow. Once you have a forecast, you
then apply a discount rate or the expected ROI. The higher the
discount rate, the riskier the investment is to investors. For
startups just getting started, the discount rate will be much
higher, signifying a riskier investment to investors.
Common Valuation Mistakes
Determining your startup valuation is complex and requires
some guesswork. There are bound to be some mistakes along the
way. The more you know about what to expect, the better
prepared you can be to ensure mistakes don't impact your
ability to get funding for your startup.
Not Doing Research – You need to do
your research to get a realistic idea of what your startup can
be valued at. Potential investors are going to do their own
research before they decide to invest. You want to be sure you
are presenting actual figures and data that helped you come up
with your valuation.
Don't Overestimate – Founders are
proud of their startups and what they hope to accomplish.
However, you don't want to list your startup at the
highest valuation possible. It will be hard to deliver on
those expectations and strain your relationship with your
investors, cause you a lot of stress, and potentially damage
your reputation.
Remember Your Valuation is Not Permanent -
Your startup's value is going to consistently change
throughout your development. You need to perform a regular
valuation on your startup as you grow before you begin your
next round of funding.
You need an accurate startup valuation to present to investors
to justify your value and funding needs. There is no perfect
valuation method and remember that mistakes will be made. Try
out a few different methods to ensure you come up with a
number that is as accurate as possible to prevent mistakes
that could be catastrophic to your fundraising efforts. By
perfecting your valuation method, you can ensure your
fundraising strategy is developed and prepared for
presentation when you're ready for the next round.
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